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Prediction markets for Wagely

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

6.39%chance

72644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4431

11

Will California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?

Jul 26, 7:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.26%chance

131874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2356

424

When will Worldcoin's monthly payout exceed Brazil's minimum wage?

Sep 30, 9:06 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

61186

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

14

8

0

0

Tax-free tipping results in >10% increase in real wages for service workers within 5 years of implementation?

Aug 30, 7:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

22.18%chance

71176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1873

534

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Aug 14, 12:32 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.12%chance

11706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1486

818

Will average wages rise faster than average house prices in the UK before the next general election?

Jul 14, 11:42 AMAug 25, 10:59 PM

40.75%chance

11595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

829

What will be the USA federal minimum wage the next time it increases?

Jul 30, 12:38 AMJul 31, 12:31 AM

7395

OptionProbability

$14.00 or more

$11.00 - $11.99

$12.00 - $12.99

$9.00 - $9.99

$10.00 - $10.99

$8.00 - $8.99

$13.00 - $13.99

$7.00 - $7.99

34

15

15

10

10

7

7

2

Will the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?

Feb 20, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.93%chance

22382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

989

Will AGI have driven wages below subsistence level by these dates?

Jun 2, 6:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6232

OptionProbability

2125-01-01

2077-01-01

2045-01-01

2026-01-01

67

50

25

0

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

Feb 10, 6:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.66%chance

4201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

88

What will the US 90/10 hourly wage ratio be in 2027?

Feb 23, 2:14 AMJun 29, 3:59 AM

22.3%chance

2110

OptionProbability

YES

NO

193

42

Will a human step on Mars before the USA's federal minimum wage is $25.00 or higher?

Aug 3, 4:48 PMAug 3, 3:58 PM

68.64%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

68

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