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Wagner Group News
Prediction markets for Wagner Group
Prediction markets for Wagner Group
Was the Wagner Group’s rebellion in June 2023 a strategic ruse staged by Russian leadership?
Jun 26, 4:36 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
7.9%
chance
19
967
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1525
902
Will the revolution be televised?
Jul 25, 1:43 PM
Nov 1, 10:59 PM
44.52%
chance
5
260
Option
Votes
NO
YES
90
87
Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Nov 1, 7:46 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
70.79%
chance
14
181
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1013
986
When violence between Russia and Ukraine formally ends, will Russia attack a non OTAN/NATO neighbour within 2 years?
Feb 22, 12:05 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
43.42%
chance
5
90
Option
Votes
YES
NO
298
264
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