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Prediction markets for Warren Buffett

When will Warren Buffett stop being Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive officer?

Aug 31, 2:20 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

2411393

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2023

2024

Other

98

1

0

0

0

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2025?

Jan 23, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.88%chance

202074

OptionVotes

NO

YES

598

58

Will BRKA hits $1,000,000 before Warren Buffett dies?

Feb 16, 9:59 PMFeb 24, 6:29 PM

70.47%chance

111119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

52

What will Berkshire Hathaway (Warren Buffett) decide to do regarding its cash position [$157.24 B] until EOY 2025?

Feb 23, 11:46 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

10946

OptionProbability

> 10% increase [> ~ $172.96B]

stays about the same within ±10% [> ~ $141.52 B; < ~ $172.96B]

> 10% decrease [< ~ $141.52 B]

95

3

2

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.49%chance

12865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1815

845

How much will Berkshire Hathaway stock change from the day before Warren Buffett dies to the day after he dies?

Apr 2, 12:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

12768

OptionProbability

-5% to -0.01%

0% to +4.99%

-10% to -4.99%

+5% to +9.99%

-15% to -9.99%

+10% or more

-15.01% or more

46

29

14

5

3

2

2

Will Warren Buffett either retire from Berkshire Hathaway or pass away before the end of 2025?

Nov 9, 11:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

83.59%chance

10672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

226

44

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.45%chance

14636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1452

924

Will Warren Buffett die within 1 year of formally retiring?

May 3, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

20499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.05%chance

3260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

68

[Long Bet clone (854)] market cap of Berkshire Hathaway above Tesla on Warren Buffett's 100th birthday.

Apr 24, 11:13 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Morris Chang live longer than Warren Buffett?

Nov 10, 8:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.15%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

82

60

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