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Prediction markets for Waters

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds?

Mar 24, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.67%chance

433889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2845

900

Will a GLP-1 receptor agonist (Ozempic-like drug) be added to public water supplies in the United States by 2075?

Oct 8, 10:12 PMOct 16, 5:59 AM

14.56%chance

83695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2422

413

India's Chandrayaan-3 moon mission will discover a new source of water on the moon by 2025

Jul 21, 10:10 PMSep 1, 4:00 AM

11.67%chance

141615

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1499

829

Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?

Sep 13, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.92%chance

281294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1765

820

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?

Mar 24, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

181134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1849

831

Will the Chinese film "Ne Zha 2" outgross "Avatar: The Way of Water" (globally) within 6 months? (>$2.3B)

Feb 12, 2:03 AMAug 12, 6:59 AM

5.83%chance

231123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

402

25

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.44%chance

9859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

571

Will the overall claim that low flow showers cause more net water use hold up thru mid 2026?

Mar 9, 12:45 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

53%chance

32825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

960

Will "Shallow Water is Dangerous Too" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 20, 8:41 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.51%chance

4472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1457

941

Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030?

Apr 23, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.76%chance

13355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

971

Miami-Dade WASD ceases adding fluoride to its drinking water by 2027

Mar 11, 9:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.12%chance

2200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

EPA budget for water quality programs cut by ≥10% in FY2026 budget

Nov 22, 3:30 PMSep 30, 12:00 AM

51.23%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

976

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