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Prediction markets for Wells Enterprises

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

296432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2124

471

Will we get commercialized optical disks with >=200TiB storage capacity? If so, when?

Feb 24, 2:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

151678

OptionProbability

2031- or never

2029-30

2027-2028

2026-2027

2024-2025

55

22

17

6

1

Will Jamie Dimon run for president of the United States by 2040?

Aug 28, 8:19 PMSep 5, 3:59 AM

29.16%chance

10933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

487

236

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

Apr 14, 12:44 AMApr 14, 12:30 AM

349

OptionProbability

Yes

N/A (unclear)

No

57

25

18

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