Western Force News

After 18 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 10, 11:59 AMNov 9, 11:59 PM

131427

OptionProbability

Israel

International Peacekeeping Force (Western at least one other block)

Arab-Only Peacekeeping Force

PLO

Hamas

United States of America

Other

African-Only Peacekeeping Force

Will the "Sky Shield" proposal and European fighter jets over Ukraine become reality in 2025?

Mar 6, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.27%chance

11859

OptionVotes

YES

399

246

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

Feb 22, 7:44 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

15444

OptionProbability

Western aid shortage / economic collapse in Ukraine

Black swan geopolitical events 🦢

Trump wins US elections and forces Ukraine to cede territories

Decisive Russian military victory

Ukraine runs out of soldiers - further mobilization not feasible

Collapse of Ukraine's government

Will a peacekeeping force of at least 10,000 non-Ukrainian European soldiers be stationed in Ukraine by years' end?

Feb 20, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.11%chance

10326

OptionVotes

YES

193

Given a PRC invasion which controls Taiwan for at least a month, will there be real resistance fighters, through 2034

Sep 11, 4:05 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

54.23%chance

10175

OptionVotes

YES

212

147

Western Force News

Prediction markets for Western Force

Prediction markets for Western Force

Prediction markets for Western Force

After 18 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will the "Sky Shield" proposal and European fighter jets over Ukraine become reality in 2025?

If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]

Will a peacekeeping force of at least 10,000 non-Ukrainian European soldiers be stationed in Ukraine by years' end?

Given a PRC invasion which controls Taiwan for at least a month, will there be real resistance fighters, through 2034

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