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Which News

Which team will win Super Bowl LX?

Jan 27, 7:02 PMFeb 9, 4:59 AM

410739534

OptionProbability

Seattle Seahawks

New England Patriots

Baltimore Ravens

Buffalo Bills

Dallas Cowboys

Detroit Lions

Kansas City Chiefs

Miami Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles

San Francisco 49ers

Green Bay Packers

Los Angeles Rams

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cleveland Browns

Houston Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers

Washington Commanders

Tennessee Titans

New York Jets

New York Giants

New Orleans Saints

Minnesota Vikings

Los Angeles Chargers

Las Vegas Raiders

Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts

Denver Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals

Chicago Bears

Carolina Panthers

Atlanta Falcons

Arizona Cardinals

68

32

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51%chance

556502414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3523

1103

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

13064854

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

58

41

1

MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

Oct 22, 8:28 PMFeb 20, 7:40 PM

8433674

OptionProbability

The Manifold Logo

“Anti gambling gambling club” - by andri

Crane Hexes - by Pat Scott

Trustworthy-ish - by Pat Scott

“Put your Mana where your mouth is” - by MIMIR MAGNVS

“This meeting could have been a market” - by andri

“Calibrated measures” - by andri

“ I just lost mana because of that” - by andri

“my waifu / predicts the future" - Pat Scott

“It’s not 🤮crypto🤮 it’s play money” - by andri

97

77

76

73

66

62

44

43

38

15

Which party wins 2028 election?

Aug 1, 7:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7424016

OptionProbability

Democratic

Republican

59

41

Which party will win the popular vote in the 2028 Presidential election?

Nov 5, 9:50 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

1418569

OptionProbability

The Democratic Party

The Republican Party

67

33

Which conspiracies will be confirmed in the NYT before 2040?

Mar 12, 2:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

375045

OptionProbability

secret cabal of pedophiles in high places

The UK did Nordstream

JFK wasn't killed by LHO acting alone and on his own initiative.

Emperor Nero didn't kill himself

Bill or Hillary Clinton had someone whacked

The Boeing whistleblower didn't kill himself

massive mail ballot fraud in 2020

Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

US government found intelligent extraterrestrials

Trump is a Russian agent

John McAfee didn't kill himself

Chemtrails

Harold Holt didn't drown or was whacked

Capote ghostwrote To Kill a Mockingbird

Jimmy Hoffa was whacked

The moon landing was faked

The Holocaust was largely exaggerated

30

30

11

10

8

8

8

7

7

7

6

6

5

5

5

3

2

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32930

OptionProbability

1password

Bitwarden

57

43

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

Jul 10, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Mercury

Venus

Mars

An asteroid

Jupiter

Saturn

Uranus

Neptune

A dwarf planet

A comet

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Which ends first

Dec 22, 6:21 PMJan 23, 5:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

LeBron’s NBA (playing) career

Steelers’ non-losing season streak

50

50

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

3/2025

4/2025

1/2026

Other

25

25

25

25

In the FIFA 2026 World Cup, which teams will place 2nd or 3rd in their group AND move on to the knockout phase?

Feb 2, 7:59 PMJun 24, 5:05 PM

00

OptionProbability

USA

Canada

Mexico

50

50

50

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