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Prediction markets for Whistleblower

How did Suchir Balaji, the OpenAI whistleblower, die?

Dec 30, 1:39 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

6015960

OptionProbability

Intentional suicide

Intentional murder by someone unconnected to OpenAI

Intentional murder by someone associated with OpenAI

Self-inflicted accident

Accident involving someone associated with OpenAI

Accident involving someone unconnected to OpenAI

Other

87

8

4

0

0

0

0

Is Boeing killing whistleblowers?

May 2, 8:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.65%chance

698726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2616

770

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Jun 6, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.73%chance

183089

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

916

By 2027, will it ever become media consensus that a Boeing Whistleblower died by foul play?

May 3, 5:22 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6.46%chance

263026

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2867

702

Another OpenAI whistleblower dies of unnatural causes before 2027

Dec 14, 1:35 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

23.66%chance

162761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1796

557

Will Jan Leike be charged with violating his NDA for whistleblowing in the next 2 years?

May 15, 3:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

6.13%chance

232266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2655

780

Will any court rule that foul play was involved in the death of any Boeing whistleblower?

May 2, 5:59 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

20.29%chance

11269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

50

Do you think there is a probability of at least 99% that Boeing is killing whistleblowers ?

May 8, 9:45 PM

170

Do you think there is a probability of at least 30% that Boeing is killing whistleblowers ?

May 8, 9:42 PM

220

Do you think there is a probability of at least 90% that Boeing is killing whistleblowers ?

May 8, 9:44 PM

160

Do you think there is a probability of at least 10% that Boeing is killing whistleblowers ?

May 8, 9:41 PM

180

Do you think there is a probability of at least 50% that Boeing is killing whistleblowers ?

May 8, 9:43 PM

210

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