OptionProbability
Under 1:58
2:00.XX
2:01.XX
1:59.XX
2:02.00 or higher, DNF
1:58.XX
25
18
14
11
"Obsolete: Power, Profit, and the Race to Build Machine Superintelligence" by Garrison Lovely
"Superintelligence" by Nick Bostrom
"Human Compatible" by Stuart Russell
"The Alignment Problem" by Brian Christian
"The Precipice" by Tob Ord
"What We Owe the Future" by Will MacAskill
"If Anyone Builds it, Everyone Dies" by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares
43
0
At least 350 steps
At least 355 steps
At least 360 steps
At least 365 steps
48
28
20
15