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Prediction markets for Wind

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45.98%chance

9519841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2264

1728

Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?

Jun 12, 6:54 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.4%chance

277394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

930

Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive

Sep 22, 5:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.57%chance

416861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

745

Will a Wind Waker re-release for the Switch 2 exist before August 2026?

Aug 1, 7:09 AMAug 1, 4:59 AM

5.95%chance

66387

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5241

375

Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?

Jun 19, 2:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.01%chance

654959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1093

591

Winds of Winter released before 2027?

Apr 21, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.42%chance

233108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

19

Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?

Jun 21, 5:46 AMJan 1, 5:44 AM

79.6%chance

141402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1976

506

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

39.53%chance

161155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

809

Will construction resume on Revolution Wind before September 2026?

Sep 20, 7:22 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

75.8%chance

3770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1770

565

Will Preston Jacobs/SweetRobin's "The Winds of Winter" fan-fiction be completed before the real thing is announced?

Sep 30, 12:46 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

42.2%chance

5710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

854

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.67%chance

17499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

920

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

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