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Prediction markets for Wind

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

9019108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

1690

Will George R. R. Martin's next "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?

Nov 10, 9:11 PMApr 29, 10:09 PM

22.55%chance

126334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1853

540

Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?

Jun 12, 6:54 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.47%chance

194817

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2030

493

Will a Wind Waker re-release for the Switch 2 exist before August 2026?

Aug 1, 7:09 AMAug 1, 4:59 AM

15.39%chance

43798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2979

899

Winds of Winter released before 2027?

Apr 21, 1:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

132360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?

Jun 21, 5:46 AMJan 1, 5:44 AM

80.19%chance

111036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2012

497

Will construction resume on Revolution Wind before September 2026?

Sep 20, 7:22 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

75.8%chance

3770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1770

565

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

46.04%chance

13755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

924

Will Preston Jacobs/SweetRobin's "The Winds of Winter" fan-fiction be completed before the real thing is announced?

Sep 30, 12:46 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

42.2%chance

5710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

854

Will 'Where Winds Meet' make the top 50 on Steam in 2025?

Nov 23, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.23%chance

3507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

946

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.67%chance

17499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

920

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

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