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Prediction markets for Wind

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

40.08%chance

10224320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2537

1522

Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?

Jun 12, 6:54 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.35%chance

368716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

739

Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive

Sep 22, 5:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43%chance

447946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1297

684

Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?

Jun 19, 2:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.95%chance

665009

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

641

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

43.68%chance

222467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

881

Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?

Jun 21, 5:46 AMJan 1, 5:44 AM

76.37%chance

141652

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1798

556

Will construction resume on Revolution Wind before September 2026?

Sep 20, 7:22 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

76.55%chance

6850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1807

553

Will Preston Jacobs/SweetRobin's "The Winds of Winter" fan-fiction be completed before the real thing is announced?

Sep 30, 12:46 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

42.2%chance

5710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

854

Will I complete the Wind River High Route (vSkurka)?

Jul 19, 6:57 PMSep 5, 10:59 PM

75.73%chance

8513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

901

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.67%chance

17499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

920

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will the next George R. R. Martin "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?

Aug 8, 6:43 AMSep 7, 6:39 AM

17.04%chance

2325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

962

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