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Prediction markets for Wind Energy

[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

Oct 13, 4:17 PMJul 2, 5:00 PM

73.18%chance

413662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

828

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Aug 26, 10:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.72%chance

161718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

347

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

281702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

938

What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?

Apr 16, 1:40 PMApr 23, 1:59 PM

91305

OptionProbability

2100

2075

2050

2040

2030

2025

2024

2023

88

83

81

63

42

22

16

13

Will renewable energy sources surpass fossil fuels as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050?

Apr 22, 8:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.18%chance

15357

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1205

937

By the year 2030, renewable energy sources will account for more than 50% of the world's total energy consumption.

Aug 6, 8:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.33%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

965

Will a new renewable energy technology emerge by 2030 that surpasses the efficiency of current solar or wind?

Dec 29, 3:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.61%chance

5160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

70

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

67.47%chance

8119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

Will wind power account for more than 25% of the EU’s electricity production by 2025?

Jul 2, 6:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.8%chance

659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

96

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