OptionVotes
YES
NO
7399
135
OptionProbability
Perplexity
Mistral
Cohere
Hugging Face
Thinking Machines Lab
Anthropic
31
20
18
13
8
6
4059
106
Implement better memory across all chats
Release GPT-5
Be beaten by Google in text generation on the "Humanity's last exam" leaderboard
Release an IDE (Windsurf or other)
Release a significant update to Sora
Make another aquisition/merger other than Windsurf and io for >1 billion USD
Reach a 500 billion dollar valuation
Release another developer model like GPT4.1
Give equity to Sam Altman
Create a new different state of the art learning algorithm
Announce or release a social media platform
Convert into for-profit
Build AGI internally
100
98
72
70
60
54
50
49
34
23
17
489
21
3131
319
Visual Studio Code (w/ Github Copilot or any other built-in)
Cursor
Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)
Other
Windsurf
Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)
Zed
Firebase Studio
75
14
3
2
1
105
95
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