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Prediction markets for Wing

Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party

Jun 20, 8:10 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

22.34%chance

777090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

894

Will there be armed conflict between left- and right-wing extremists before 2030? (10v10 & 100v100)

Aug 1, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

101246

OptionProbability

10 v 10

100 v 100

30

21

Who/what will have done a "right wing pivot" before 2027?

Feb 26, 5:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30808

OptionProbability

The Washington Post

Neil Gaiman

Sam Bankman-Fried

CBS News

Gavin Newsom

CNN

Drake

Ezra Klein

John Fetterman

MrBeast

Sam Altman

Disney

Manifold

MSNOW (formerly MSNBC)

Taylor Lorenz

The Papacy

Bluesky

Contrapoints (Natalie Wynn)

Jon Stewart

Taylor Swift

78

63

55

50

47

46

45

43

42

41

41

40

32

27

20

19

12

12

9

9

In 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?

Dec 25, 2:31 PMJun 30, 8:59 PM

61.78%chance

11371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

262

86

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

Jul 9, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

6336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will the first elected female President be right-wing?

Apr 18, 11:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.68%chance

10302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

125

Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?

Oct 1, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.61%chance

7222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will the first female President be right-wing?

Apr 18, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.04%chance

10188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

139

Will there be massive emigration before 2040 from USA due to the election and governance of a right wing government?

Oct 23, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

32.02%chance

6172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

91

Will any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?

Sep 10, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69%chance

8109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

Will an oblique wing aircraft enter service for civilian transportation or military purposes by 2050?

Jan 21, 8:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

51.6%chance

573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

117

When will Marlon James' "White Wing, Dark Star" be published?

Apr 23, 2:37 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

15

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2030 or later

2029

20

20

20

20

18

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