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Top stories

Bueckers Ties WNBA Rookie Record as Plum Buzzer-Beater Lifts Sparks

Bueckers Ties WNBA Rookie Record as Plum Buzzer-Beater Lifts Sparks

Authors

15

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Wings

Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party

Jun 20, 8:10 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

30.31%chance

859515

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

957

Will there be armed conflict between left- and right-wing extremists before 2030? (10v10 & 100v100)

Aug 1, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

101246

OptionProbability

10 v 10

100 v 100

30

21

In 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?

Dec 25, 2:31 PMJun 30, 8:59 PM

61.78%chance

11371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

262

86

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

Jul 9, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

6336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will the first elected female President be right-wing?

Apr 18, 11:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.68%chance

10302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

125

Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?

Oct 1, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.61%chance

7222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will the first female President be right-wing?

Apr 18, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.04%chance

10188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

139

Will there be massive emigration before 2040 from USA due to the election and governance of a right wing government?

Oct 23, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

32.02%chance

6172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

91

Will any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?

Sep 10, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.26%chance

12169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will published research show decreases in right-wing bot activity due to Russian data infrastructure damage?

Oct 13, 2:28 PMOct 13, 2:07 PM

48.41%chance

8167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

When will Marlon James' "White Wing, Dark Star" be published?

Apr 23, 2:37 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

2105

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2030 or later

2029

2026

24

24

24

22

5

Will an oblique wing aircraft enter service for civilian transportation or military purposes by 2050?

Jan 21, 8:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

51.6%chance

573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

117

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