Wise News

Which company will let me read a book while driving in a private car in 2025?

Aug 5, 7:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

153155

OptionProbability

Tesla

[Other]

Comma.ai

Toyota

Waymo

Random stock (Permanent)

Feb 19, 12:59 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

231200

OptionProbability

YES

443

417

Will quantum computing lead to a scramble to quickly update encryption algorithms?

Jan 30, 10:23 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

45.74%chance

301129

OptionVotes

YES

1140

798

YES stock (Permanent)

Feb 19, 12:53 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

19849

OptionProbability

YES

589

251

Will TikTok get fully banned in the USA if Donald Trump wins the election before the end of 2026?

Feb 7, 2:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

9.86%chance

9465

OptionVotes

YES

705

140

Can model 90% as good as o4-mini be created with open source and <$500 GPU compute?

May 9, 4:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.73%chance

6272

OptionVotes

YES

253

Will there be a widely read alternative to The Doors Of Stone written by AI released by 2027?

Nov 24, 3:11 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

13.31%chance

8214

OptionVotes

YES

301

102

Will the first two players to reach 200m Sailing experience in Oldschool Runescape do so within a week of each other?

Feb 20, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.18%chance

11156

OptionVotes

YES

206

147

What string, if submitted as a response choice below, would a much wiser version of me most appreciate being submitted?

Mar 29, 6:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10148

OptionProbability

Other

Before humanity colonizes the universe, we must ensure that the future we would build is one worth living in.

Digital minds research is an important and neglected approach to AI safety.

Fun Fact: If you put “fun fact” before a completely made up statement, people are 69% more likely to believe it.

Past-you may have been a willing and enthusiastic sacrifice to present-you, and assuming you'll remain wiser, it was a worthwhile trade.

It's a good idea to buy lots of Microsoft stock right now

It's a good idea to short lots of Microsoft stock right now

If you sacrificed what you valued the most in order to survive, then from viewpoint of past-you you-present are already as good as dead

Capitalism will collapse in 2026

Stop seeking wisdom on a troll website founded to embezzle money

In 3 years time, will I view my decision to partake in the ### capital raise a wise decision?

Mar 31, 3:47 AMMar 31, 12:59 PM

72.91%chance

3132

OptionVotes

YES

137

In 10 years time, will I view my decision to partake in the ### capital raise a wise decision?

Mar 31, 3:53 AMMar 31, 12:59 PM

48.88%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

Will the World Mission Society Church of god still exist 20 years after the death of Zahng Gil-jah?

Oct 26, 11:49 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

57%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

Wise News

Prediction markets for Wise

Prediction markets for Wise

Prediction markets for Wise

Which company will let me read a book while driving in a private car in 2025?

Random stock (Permanent)

Will quantum computing lead to a scramble to quickly update encryption algorithms?

YES stock (Permanent)

Will TikTok get fully banned in the USA if Donald Trump wins the election before the end of 2026?

Can model 90% as good as o4-mini be created with open source and <$500 GPU compute?

Will there be a widely read alternative to The Doors Of Stone written by AI released by 2027?

Will the first two players to reach 200m Sailing experience in Oldschool Runescape do so within a week of each other?

What string, if submitted as a response choice below, would a much wiser version of me most appreciate being submitted?

In 3 years time, will I view my decision to partake in the ### capital raise a wise decision?

In 10 years time, will I view my decision to partake in the ### capital raise a wise decision?

Will the World Mission Society Church of god still exist 20 years after the death of Zahng Gil-jah?

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