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Prediction markets for Wizards

Will Wizards of the Coast release a set where 100% of the art is AI-created before 2028?

Feb 27, 12:23 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.87%chance

282850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1743

855

Will wizards of the coast make/produce a magic: the gathering movie/Tv show by 2035?

Jan 19, 10:44 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

85.07%chance

201586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1750

799

Will Wizards of the Coast be sold or split off from Hasbro by 2030?

Jan 17, 3:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.66%chance

221212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1340

759

New arena for the Washington Wizards / Washington Capitals in Northern Virginia?

Dec 13, 2:40 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

25%chance

171198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

955

257

Will Wizards of the Coast change their stance on not allowing AI art before 2026?

Aug 10, 7:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.3%chance

20961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1372

434

Will Universal Orlando's Wizarding World of Harry Potter have fully interactive moving portraits by the end of 2025?

Feb 29, 1:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.54%chance

7512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

457

51

Will Warner Brothers purchase the Harry Potter Wizarding World franchise by the end of 2025?

Jun 17, 3:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.03%chance

12267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

445

363

Will Austin Shaw (https://twitter.com/replicationer ) turn into a wizard? (virgin at 30 years old)

Apr 18, 11:12 PMJan 1, 9:01 AM

17.53%chance

5158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

285

106

Will @CineraVerinia become a wizard?

Oct 17, 6:05 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

39.5%chance

7156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

142

Will Selena Gomez appear in more than one episode of the Wizards of Waverly Place Reboot?

Jan 18, 10:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.39%chance

7128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

99

Will King Gizzard and the Lizard Wizard play Sydney Opera House before 2026?

Dec 8, 11:12 PMJan 1, 1:59 PM

80.33%chance

2115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

43

Will "Orienting Toward Wizard Power" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 10:07 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

25.36%chance

2109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

531

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