OptionProbability
There will be controversy involving market resolution
Bets denominated in cryptocurrency not pegged to USD
Runs on its own domain separate from the rest of Truth Social
Some markets resolved with AI
Uses a CFTC-designated DCM as an exchange.
Incorporates a WLFI product in some way
Has numeric markets
A 2026 election market is resolved differently than the Polymarket or Kalshi version
Donald Trump makes a bet within 3 months of launch
Users can create markets
Has a major security breach within 6 months of launch
Has play-money markets
Overtakes Polymarket in trade volume within 6 months of launch
Full (US) launch in 2025
Global launch in 2025
85
78
65
55
50
46
39
38
35
34
16
3
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
118
84
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