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Prediction markets for WMO
OptionVotes
5001
816
OptionVotes
1601
625
Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
78.32%chance
133874
OptionVotes
1008
817
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
65.16%chance
161015
OptionVotes
1502
549
Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?
Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.3%chance
11170
OptionVotes
1224
1092