Working Title News
Prediction markets for Working Title
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
81.04%chance
503720483
OptionVotes
16293
14198
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Nov 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.36%chance
15987847
OptionVotes
4330
2508
OptionVotes
14097
6644
Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?
Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.32%chance
3532173
OptionVotes
17781
14066
Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030)
May 21, 2:29 PMJan 2, 2:28 PM
18.62%chance
222023
OptionVotes
2091
478
In 10 years, will Barbie have been followed by at least 10 (released) movies based on Mattel toys?
Jul 31, 3:05 PMJul 23, 9:59 PM
11.53%chance
161497
OptionVotes
1996
776
Will 90% of programmers mostly sit while working in 2029?
Jan 31, 1:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
96.24%chance
161378
OptionVotes
2095
883
By 2031, will any new TIME Person of the Year have been selected for their negative influence?
Oct 7, 2:02 PMJan 1, 9:49 AM
64%chance
191151
OptionVotes
1253
811
Will I outperform the market by individually picking/trading stocks?
Jul 30, 5:35 PMSep 1, 11:00 PM
50.21%chance
18955
OptionVotes
1004
996
OptionVotes
1389
336
OptionVotes
1173
853
Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?
Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.91%chance
7487
OptionVotes
1319
797