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Prediction markets for World Assets

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.1%chance

2218272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

910

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.43%chance

233162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

705

How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM

201408

OptionProbability

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a week, less than a month

More than a month, less than a year

More than a day, less than a week

More than a decade

36

24

19

14

3

3

Danantara SOEs outperform IDX Composite by >5% within 12 months of Feb 24, 2025 consolidation

Mar 12, 3:31 PMFeb 24, 12:00 AM

31.97%chance

41022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

State of AI-rendered games [Read Description]

Sep 24, 4:43 PMDec 31, 4:38 PM

7571

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

63

62

50

37

28

0

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ...?

Feb 2, 1:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5280

OptionProbability

Q4 2026 (October 1 - December 31, 2026)

Q3 2026 (July 1 - September 30, 2026)

Q2 2026 (April 1 - June 30, 2026)

Q1 2026 (by March 31, 2026)

40

35

21

5

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