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Prediction markets for World Assets

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.1%chance

2218272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

910

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.17%chance

75558

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10236

9769

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

695

How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM

201408

OptionProbability

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a week, less than a month

More than a month, less than a year

More than a day, less than a week

More than a decade

36

24

19

14

3

3

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ...?

Feb 2, 1:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11755

OptionProbability

Q2 2026 (April 1 - June 30, 2026)

Q3 2026 (July 1 - September 30, 2026)

Q4 2026 (October 1 - December 31, 2026)

Q1 2026 (by March 31, 2026)

95

2

2

0

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

State of AI-rendered games [Read Description]

Sep 24, 4:43 PMDec 31, 4:38 PM

9662

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

59

58

50

39

27

0

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

Mar 8, 10:57 PMFeb 28, 10:49 PM

71%chance

19641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

Will one country get 75% of world GDP before 2040?

Jun 28, 1:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.3%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

75

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