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Arbitrum Shifts to Zero-Knowledge Proofs via Succinct, Offchain Labs Deal
Authors
12
1 year ago
Prediction markets for World Chain
Prediction markets for World Chain
Will we get Rouge AI before 2031?
Mar 10, 2:41 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
21.5%
chance
42
7083
Option
Votes
NO
YES
977
921
Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?
Mar 12, 11:13 AM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
20.7%
chance
29
5025
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1409
832
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?
Dec 4, 3:24 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
79.42%
chance
8
1237
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1965
509
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.21%
chance
14
835
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1015
943
Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?
Aug 7, 2:51 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26.59%
chance
12
834
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1661
602
Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?
May 1, 9:23 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
24.51%
chance
2
751
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1751
574
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%
chance
4
157
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1091
1011
Lynas reports at least one month production loss in 2026?
Nov 25, 1:26 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
72.98%
chance
5
110
Option
Votes
NO
YES
164
61
Will the 2 World Trade Center be completed by EOY 2031?
Feb 26, 9:12 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
When will society collapse?
Jan 29, 6:56 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
15
0
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