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Prediction markets for World Finance

Will US inflation be over 4% for the next 5 years?

Aug 8, 10:45 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1%chance

2521022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9486

686

Which industries of the US stock market will outperform the SPDR S&P 500 Trust in 2025?

Jan 1, 9:04 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

142852

OptionProbability

Metals & Mining (XME)

Semiconductor (XSD)

Telecom (XTL)

Aerospace & Defense (XAR)

Biotech (XBI)

Pharmaceuticals (XPH)

Health Care Services (XHS)

Banks (KBE)

Capital Markets (KCE)

Homebuilders (XHB)

Insurance (KIE)

Retail (XRT)

Regional Banking (KRE)

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services (XES)

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (XOP)

Software & Services (XSW)

Health Care Equipment (XHE)

Transportation (XTN)

96

93

92

91

82

80

73

25

25

25

25

25

24

20

20

20

15

13

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.98%chance

392423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

733

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than ten billion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 8:47 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

73.84%chance

151472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1936

988

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than a billion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

86.78%chance

221450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2411

1180

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one trillion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 9:56 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

28.12%chance

121007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1703

1017

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than one hundred billion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

60.73%chance

18676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1740

1045

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?

Nov 26, 3:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.7%chance

4127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

54

In the context of financial world, is “pundit” a term of

Jun 13, 8:00 AM

50

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