World Fund News

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.26%chance

321858480

OptionVotes

YES

6979

3610

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.69%chance

337103019

OptionVotes

YES

5028

3694

Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?

Jun 10, 4:17 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

1%chance

2811921

OptionVotes

YES

9950

101

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.28%chance

8911284

OptionVotes

YES

3759

339

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

26.24%chance

589801

OptionVotes

YES

6341

4559

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.08%chance

188507

OptionVotes

YES

6378

3288

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.08%chance

127430

OptionVotes

YES

7704

2333

Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?

Jun 14, 11:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20.22%chance

91078

OptionVotes

YES

1986

503

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

Will the World Bank or IMF establish a dedicated climate disaster relief fund of at least $50 billion by the end of 2025

Mar 13, 8:39 AMDec 19, 10:59 PM

9.81%chance

8205

OptionVotes

YES

303

Which international organization will formally invite MrBeast to join a global operations committee?

Jul 27, 6:52 PMDec 31, 7:50 PM

120

OptionProbability

Other

United Nations

World Health Organization

International Red Cross

World Wildlife Fund

Greenpeace

United Nations Environment Programme

United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF)

World Food Programme

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN)

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)

United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-Habitat)

United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)

United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)

United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women)

United Nations International Children's Emergency Fund (UNICEF)

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

World Bank

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office on Sport for Development and Peace (UNOSDP)

United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA)

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)

United Nations Office for Partnerships (UNOP)

United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation (UNOSSC)

United Nations Office for Sustainable Development (UNOSD)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA)

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)

United Nations Office for Partnerships (UNOP)

United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation (UNOSSC)

United Nations Office for Sustainable Development (UNOSD)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

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World Fund News

Prediction markets for World Fund

Prediction markets for World Fund

Prediction markets for World Fund

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Will the World Bank or IMF establish a dedicated climate disaster relief fund of at least $50 billion by the end of 2025

Which international organization will formally invite MrBeast to join a global operations committee?

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