World Mobile News

Will Alex get into a high tier UC

Dec 15, 10:40 AMJun 30, 10:39 AM

60.23%chance

152192

OptionVotes

YES

118

What will be "March 2020" for AGI?

Jan 12, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

121409

OptionProbability

Mass AI-driven job displacement event

A government declaration/statement (any country)

Reports about software

Reports about financial activity

Report about sociological observations

Report about economic observations

AI-related academic achievement

Attack on military target

Attack on civilian target

AI-related weapon announcement/use/threat

A statement from an individual (human)

AI-related fake news

AI-related political movement (pro or anti)

A private company declaration/statement (any company)

Discovery of a spy / mole working for foreign power (or for an AI)

Military activity / posture change

An AI-related apocalypse cult attacks a civilian or military target

AI-related mass psychosis/hysteria event

An AI uncovers evidence relating to a previous event

A government of a major nation orders the shutdown of a significant AI service

AI-designed cyberweapon

AI makes prediction about future event

Open source model release

Release of a closed-source/closed-weights model

Reports of aerial devices/machines

Reports of market activity

AI-related corruption scandal

AI-related theft

A new war between nation states

AI-related resignation

Reports of activity in online communities

Reports of activity on internet-connected servers

Reports of activity in open source software

A declaration/statement from a military / intelligence agency

Reports of activity on internet media distribution platforms

People receiving messages (text / phone calls / whatsapp / ...)

AI-related diplomacy

Reports about consumer activity

Reports about identity theft

Reports of activity in religious communities

AI-related media (movie/song/book ...)

Reports about industrial activity

Reports about physical machines

Reports about criminal activity

AI-related competition achievement

A viral meme

An announcement from an AI lab similar to o3

AI-related Internet shutdown in some country

AI-related cyberattack

Conventional weapons attack on AI infrastructure / supply chain

A declaration/statement from an AI (any AI)

AI-related sex scandal

A piece of viral AI-generated media that has a strong/unexpected effect on large numbers of people (~psychological)

AI parasitism / Addictive-Persuasive Agent

Attack on Taiwan

AI-related terrorist attack

AI-related assassination

AI-designed pathogen

AI drug discovery

AI material discovery

Death of an individual in suspicious circumstances

AI-related astronomical event / observation / analysis (can also include satellites)

Reports of underwater activity

Reports of activity on blockchain networks

Reports of activity in academic communities

Publication of a research paper (or pre-print / blog post / poster / twitter thread / ... -- about research-related topic)

Reports of activity in online video games

Reports about people getting scammed

AI-related cult

AI system demonstrates general robotic control

AI causes significant stock market event

Major AGI lab whistleblower revelation

AI-related archaeology

Major AI safety incident or accident

AI system makes scientific breakthrough

AI system solves major unsolved math problem

An AI lab demonstrates an automated AI research engineer

AI-related nuclear weapon use

When will World War III happen?

Apr 25, 10:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12861

OptionProbability

2046-2100

2029-2035

2036-2045

2028

2027

2026

2025

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

1123

765

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

YES

416

404

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

YES

1091

949

OpenAI announces commercial humanoid robot by EOY 2027?

Aug 18, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.53%chance

9279

OptionVotes

YES

1039

608

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

Dec 27, 4:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.24%chance

8107

OptionVotes

YES

208

157

Will the next Call of Duty game taking place in World War 2 release this decade?

Jul 30, 5:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.35%chance

224

OptionVotes

YES

Next modality added by FlixMobility

Jul 4, 2:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Cars, e.g. Rideshare

Airplane

Boat

Micromobility

Other

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

320

World Mobile News

Prediction markets for World Mobile

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Prediction markets for World Mobile

Will Alex get into a high tier UC

What will be "March 2020" for AGI?

When will World War III happen?

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

OpenAI announces commercial humanoid robot by EOY 2027?

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

Will the next Call of Duty game taking place in World War 2 release this decade?

Next modality added by FlixMobility

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

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