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World Network News
Prediction markets for World Network
Prediction markets for World Network
Will tailcalled think that the Natural Abstractions alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 12:55 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
17.43%
chance
30
7834
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2079
497
Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Apr 18, 7:05 AM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
23.33%
chance
23
3405
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1363
839
Will Grindr crash near Anaheim CA when the "Maga Invasion" and "Mini Gay Days" happen at Disneyland, February 28, 2026?
Dec 1, 1:38 AM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
16.6%
chance
20
3094
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2244
447
Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?
Mar 24, 9:30 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 AM
59.37%
chance
15
591
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
765
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
59.02%
chance
3
280
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1200
833
China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?
Nov 26, 3:39 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
67.63%
chance
6
157
Option
Votes
NO
YES
145
69
By 2030, one-shot learning allows AI to recognize new objects in diverse settings from a single image?
Jan 5, 10:51 AM
Dec 31, 8:00 AM
73.61%
chance
1
65
Option
Votes
NO
YES
84
30
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
27
0
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