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World Network News
Prediction markets for World Network
Prediction markets for World Network
Will tailcalled think that the Natural Abstractions alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 12:55 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
13.36%
chance
31
7924
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2456
429
Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Apr 18, 7:05 AM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
23.59%
chance
24
3409
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1350
843
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60%
chance
5
805
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1225
816
Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?
Jun 18, 3:36 AM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
8.53%
chance
8
695
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1561
1280
Will Michael Levin be awarded the Nobel Prize?
May 27, 5:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.17%
chance
3
600
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1452
689
Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?
Mar 24, 9:30 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 AM
59.37%
chance
15
591
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
765
China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?
Nov 26, 3:39 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
68.04%
chance
7
235
Option
Votes
NO
YES
146
69
Will the 2026 World Cup Final be the most watched Final of all time?
Jun 23, 6:39 PM
Aug 31, 11:59 PM
39.76%
chance
10
93
Option
Votes
YES
NO
123
81
By 2030, one-shot learning allows AI to recognize new objects in diverse settings from a single image?
Jan 5, 10:51 AM
Dec 31, 8:00 AM
73.61%
chance
1
65
Option
Votes
NO
YES
84
30
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
28
0
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