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Prediction markets for Worldwide Marketing

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.22%chance

21224504846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17438

5214

Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?

Feb 28, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

108130933

OptionProbability

Above 10%

Above 25%

Above 50%

Above 75%

Above 90%

100

100

11

5

1

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.19%chance

4820786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1124

921

Which companies will be in the top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2025?

Jun 22, 7:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3615358

OptionProbability

Apple

Microsoft

Alphabet (Google)

NVIDIA

Amazon

Meta Platforms (Facebook)

Broadcom

Saudi Aramco

TSMC

Tesla

Berkshire Hathaway

Eli Lilly

Walmart

Visa

JPMorgan Chase

Tencent

Oracle

United Health

Novo Nordisk

99

99

99

99

98

97

96

93

91

82

20

5

5

3

3

3

3

1

1

If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?

Feb 5, 1:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.11%chance

243219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

944

Will consumer electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?

Feb 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.69%chance

17941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

791

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.7%chance

8805

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

755

Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?

Jan 2, 4:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

68.06%chance

12522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

989

Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?

Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM

27.63%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

961

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6146

OptionProbability

India

Brazil

UK

Denmark

Italy

Spain

Canada

68

59

41

36

35

34

30

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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