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Prediction markets for Worldwide Marketing

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.22%chance

21424581558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18844

4643

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM

174365

OptionProbability

Microsoft

NVIDIA

Alphabet (Google)

Apple

Meta Platforms (Facebook)

Amazon

TSMC

Saudi Aramco

Broadcom

Tesla

Eli Lilly

Berkshire Hathaway

Oracle

JPMorgan Chase

Visa

Tencent

Walmart

United Health

Novo Nordisk

97

97

96

95

92

89

69

59

50

45

28

27

27

24

17

17

11

8

7

If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?

Feb 5, 1:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.11%chance

243219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

944

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

212368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

500

Will consumer electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?

Feb 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.69%chance

17941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

791

Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?

Jan 2, 4:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

68.06%chance

12522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

989

Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?

Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM

27.63%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

961

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?

Nov 26, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.86%chance

6199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1125

889

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.41%chance

4191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

934

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6146

OptionProbability

India

Brazil

UK

Denmark

Italy

Spain

Canada

68

59

41

36

35

34

30

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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