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Prediction markets for Worldwide Marketing

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

28.3%chance

22164709208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18445

4797

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.59%chance

6024914

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1121

812

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

31%chance

1819062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

670

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.83%chance

418665

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1597

626

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM

236915

OptionProbability

Apple

Microsoft

Alphabet (Google)

NVIDIA

Amazon

TSMC

SpaceX

Broadcom

Saudi Aramco

Tesla

Meta Platforms (Facebook)

Eli Lilly

Berkshire Hathaway

Walmart

JPMorgan Chase

Visa

Oracle

Tencent

United Health

Novo Nordisk

97

97

97

97

92

80

78

72

61

45

43

19

18

15

14

7

7

6

2

1

If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?

Feb 5, 1:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.11%chance

243219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

944

Will consumer electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?

Feb 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.69%chance

17941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

791

Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?

Jan 2, 4:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

68.06%chance

12522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

989

Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?

Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM

27.63%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

961

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.4%chance

6216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

953

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6146

OptionProbability

India

Brazil

UK

Denmark

Italy

Spain

Canada

68

59

41

36

35

34

30

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

340

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