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Prediction markets for Worldwide Marketing

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

26.43%chance

22434827083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19146

4533

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41.88%chance

6025127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

892

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

31%chance

1819062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

670

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM

269519

OptionProbability

Apple

Alphabet (Google)

NVIDIA

Microsoft

Amazon

TSMC

SpaceX

Broadcom

Meta Platforms (Facebook)

Anthropic

Saudi Aramco

Tesla

Eli Lilly

Berkshire Hathaway

JPMorgan Chase

Visa

Walmart

Tencent

Oracle

United Health

Novo Nordisk

98

98

98

97

95

89

79

72

71

67

57

36

8

5

5

4

4

3

3

2

1

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.11%chance

429040

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2490

402

If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?

Feb 5, 1:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.11%chance

243219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

944

Will consumer electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?

Feb 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.69%chance

17941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

791

Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?

Jan 2, 4:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

68.06%chance

12522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

989

Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?

Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM

27.37%chance

13382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

957

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

9361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6146

OptionProbability

India

Brazil

UK

Denmark

Italy

Spain

Canada

68

59

41

36

35

34

30

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

340

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