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Prediction markets for Worldwide Marketing

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.36%chance

21974669799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19997

4243

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

56.76%chance

5824043

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1329

614

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.16%chance

368326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1463

683

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM

226130

OptionProbability

Microsoft

Alphabet (Google)

NVIDIA

Apple

Amazon

TSMC

Broadcom

Saudi Aramco

Meta Platforms (Facebook)

SpaceX

Tesla

Berkshire Hathaway

Walmart

Eli Lilly

JPMorgan Chase

Visa

Tencent

Oracle

United Health

Novo Nordisk

97

97

97

96

93

76

75

63

60

57

56

21

20

19

16

9

8

7

3

2

Will Zijin produce 2,000+ tonnes of tungsten in FY2029?

Mar 21, 12:10 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

55.64%chance

63874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

893

If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?

Feb 5, 1:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.11%chance

243219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

944

Will consumer electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?

Feb 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.69%chance

17941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

791

Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?

Jan 2, 4:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

68.06%chance

12522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

989

Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?

Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM

27.63%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

961

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.25%chance

5213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

956

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6146

OptionProbability

India

Brazil

UK

Denmark

Italy

Spain

Canada

68

59

41

36

35

34

30

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

340

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