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Prediction markets for Worthe

Will Manifold ever be worth $1B?

Apr 24, 4:23 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4.4%chance

147482055

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7728

1949

Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?

Jan 5, 11:02 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

9037201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1464

333

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

19.69%chance

920668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15088

92

Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?

Dec 6, 7:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.3%chance

3512919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

791

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?

Feb 4, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.78%chance

358720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1327

754

Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030

Jan 18, 2:06 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

12.43%chance

608477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1918

114

Blue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?

Mar 11, 7:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

2.73%chance

277594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5075

63

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.5%chance

534616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1378

726

Will Extropic be worth $1 Billion before 2030? 🦄

Apr 28, 7:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.5%chance

232807

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

387

[400 mana bounty]What inexpensive things, if I buy, will I think was worth the time and money in terms of improving QOL?

Sep 29, 1:30 AMJan 1, 2:29 AM

341911

OptionProbability

Extra phone charger

Waterproof shower speaker

Premium shower head

Rechargeable motion-sensor LED light (for closets, hallways, or under the bed)

New pillow

Shoe horn

100

65

61

60

58

39

In three months, will I think setting up this Manifold news reader was worth it?

Oct 21, 2:56 AMJan 21, 2:54 AM

50.53%chance

111652

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10107

9894

Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?

Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM

77.43%chance

51540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3308

1022

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