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Top stories

Democratic Party Approval Falls to 19% with 72% Disapproval, WSJ Poll Shows Lowest Favorability in 35 Years

Democratic Party Approval Falls to 19% with 72% Disapproval, WSJ Poll Shows Lowest Favorability in 35 Years

Authors

23

16 days ago

Prediction markets for WSJ

Will Elon acquire Polymarket?

Oct 8, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.34%chance

4641975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17861

7612

Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?

Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.76%chance

2440407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

36783

7377

Will audio recordings of FDIC malfeasance vis crypto be confirmed?

Jan 12, 9:50 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.08%chance

5529537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24482

4980

Congress passes law against Trump's tariffs in 2025?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.34%chance

629652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2796

358

What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?

Jul 19, 7:42 AMDec 31, 8:41 AM

434557

OptionProbability

Settlement outside of court

Court ruling in favor of WSJ

Court ruling in favor of Trump

73

25

2

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.52%chance

292067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

655

Will Trump's lawsuit against the WSJ go to trial?

Jul 19, 5:09 PMJul 18, 4:59 PM

18.21%chance

201704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2119

472

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.67%chance

171570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6171

4649

Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Apr 3, 4:53 AMJan 2, 12:59 AM

38.35%chance

16765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

920

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

775

Will the WSJ do an expose-style piece on Bryan Johnson before 2027?

Feb 11, 10:28 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

62.8%chance

493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

316

287

Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?

Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM

50.74%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

985

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