OptionProbability
X 8.00 Solar flare [or higher]
Major Volcanic Eruption (â„6 on VEI scale)
Trump says Xiaohongshu (or tries to)
Another Pandemic
X (Formerly Twitter) revives Vine
US Buys or Invades Greenland
A large-scale cyberattack cripples financial systems, causing a global economic meltdown
A law granting legal rights to AI systems is passed in a UN Member State or a US State
Elon Flips to Democrat
OpenAI Nationalized
Bitcoin Market Cap > US GDP (or this happens with another cryptocurrency)
GTA 6 released
Discovery of Alien Life
45
19
17
11
10
8
6
5
4
2
1
six months or longer
six months
a month
two weeks
within a week
71
7
3
Discord
Twitch
Bluesky
VerSe Innovation Josh
Baidu Tieba
Rakuten Viber
PageBites imo
Xiaohongshu
Likee
Picsart
Vevo
VK
Pinterest
Line by Naver
Threads
Microsoft Teams
Tumblr
Manifold
Quora
Microsoft Skype
74
59
51
50
46
38
26
20
OptionVotes
YES
NO
399
25
326
31