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Prediction markets for XT

Will XTX Markets award the grand prize from Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad Prize before 2030?

Nov 27, 6:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3%chance

122923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

757

15

Will a deepmind model be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?

Nov 27, 5:30 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM

33.23%chance

11465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

115

What company or institution will win the XTX AIMO Prize?

Dec 26, 4:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11396

OptionProbability

Nobody

Open AI

Google Deepmind

Other

Anthropic

Meta

UC Berkeley

70

12

9

4

2

1

1

Will XTC/MDMA be legalized anywhere in the world before 2035

Jun 16, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:01 PM

82%chance

4231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

46

Will OpenAI be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?

Nov 27, 5:31 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM

35.64%chance

8125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

88

What is the primary industry or academic affiliation of the team that wins the 10 Million XTX Markets AI-IMO Gold prize?

Nov 27, 10:14 PM

230

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