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Prediction markets for XT

When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?

Nov 29, 5:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

488440

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2030 or later

2028

2029

2024

2025

33

26

19

12

8

1

1

Will XTX Markets award the grand prize from Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad Prize before 2030?

Nov 27, 6:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

85.11%chance

9884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

364

103

Will a deepmind model be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?

Nov 27, 5:30 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM

54.36%chance

9389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

172

124

What company or institution will win the XTX AIMO Prize?

Dec 26, 4:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11246

OptionProbability

Open AI

Google Deepmind

Other

Anthropic

Meta

UC Berkeley

42

35

13

5

3

2

Will XTC/MDMA be legalized anywhere in the world before 2035

Jun 16, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:01 PM

82%chance

4231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

46

Will OpenAI be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?

Nov 27, 5:31 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM

52.48%chance

673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

128

What is the primary industry or academic affiliation of the team that wins the 10 Million XTX Markets AI-IMO Gold prize?

Nov 27, 10:14 PM

220

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