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Prediction markets for Yale University

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

May 22, 9:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

6.97%chance

236147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3654

274

Will Rory Stewart be a UK ambassador to any country by end of 2035?

Apr 16, 10:43 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

21.13%chance

221622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1555

782

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21028

OptionProbability

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

26

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

25

24

Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033

Oct 7, 6:41 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

17.2%chance

14876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1243

913

Will Black Students Be Less Than 10% of the Ivy League Class of 2028?

Dec 2, 8:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

36.86%chance

12434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

78

Total applications to Ivy League schools decrease by at least 20% for Class of 2032 compared to Class of 2028

Jan 9, 3:16 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

41.13%chance

6357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

84

Will at least one Ivy-Plus college eliminate the personal statement for the 2026–2027 application cycle?

Jan 12, 5:49 AMMay 1, 11:59 PM

19.15%chance

6135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

92

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

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