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Prediction markets for YC

Will ZeroPath (YC S24) be inactive by 2028 (excl. acquisition)?

Jul 15, 9:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.08%chance

293839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13028

8892

Exit valuation of OpenPipe (YC S23)?

Sep 13, 10:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41040

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M-$100M

$100M-$1B

$1B+

56

32

10

2

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

Exit valuation of Parea (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

280

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

62

16

16

6

Exit valuation of Elythea (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

270

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

63

16

10

10

Exit valuation of Epsilla (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

250

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

61

15

15

10

Exit valuation of Trainy (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Exit valuation of Wyvern AI (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Exit valuation of Letter AI (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

235

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

61

13

13

13

Will Garry Tan stop being CEO of YC before they invest in 6000 companies?

Feb 3, 10:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57%chance

433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

101

Exit valuation of CandorIQ (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

59

14

14

14

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