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Prediction markets for YC

Will ZeroPath (YC S24) be inactive by 2028 (excl. acquisition)?

Jul 15, 9:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.59%chance

294095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12773

8970

Exit valuation of Martin (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:34 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

61418

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

61

14

14

11

Exit valuation of OpenPipe (YC S23)?

Sep 13, 10:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41040

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M-$100M

$100M-$1B

$1B+

56

32

10

2

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

Exit valuation of Automorphic (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

4145

OptionProbability

$1B+

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

68

26

3

3

Exit valuation of TrendUp (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:35 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

280

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

70

12

12

7

Exit valuation of Corgea (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

380

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

64

17

11

9

Exit valuation of Bronco AI (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

260

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

66

13

13

8

Exit valuation of ParadeDB (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Exit valuation of Wyvern AI (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Exit valuation of RightPage (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

237

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

62

13

13

13

Exit valuation of Guac (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

59

14

14

14

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