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Prediction markets for YC

Will ZeroPath (YC S24) be inactive by 2028 (excl. acquisition)?

Jul 15, 9:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.08%chance

293839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13028

8892

Exit valuation of OpenPipe (YC S23)?

Sep 13, 10:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41040

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M-$100M

$100M-$1B

$1B+

56

32

10

2

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

Exit valuation of Flex (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:34 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

4300

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

61

20

14

5

Exit valuation of Metoro (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

3136

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

66

16

16

3

Exit valuation of Parea (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

280

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

62

16

16

6

Exit valuation of Lingtual (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:35 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

245

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

63

13

13

11

Exit valuation of Wyvern AI (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Exit valuation of Docsum (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Exit valuation of Letter AI (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

235

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

61

13

13

13

Exit valuation of CandorIQ (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

59

14

14

14

Exit valuation of Guac (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:37 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

59

14

14

14

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