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Top stories

RBI Approves SMBC as Largest Shareholder With 24.99% Stake in Yes Bank; Shares Rise 5%

RBI Approves SMBC as Largest Shareholder With 24.99% Stake in Yes Bank; Shares Rise 5%

Authors

4

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Yes Bank

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.42%chance

66104875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

63487

1575

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.85%chance

8145087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33264

2509

Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

Aug 17, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:49 AM

11.57%chance

24439535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

56

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.12%chance

669683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4164

2260

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Mar 6, 9:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59.97%chance

808792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1176

716

Will Any Top-8 Economy See Its Birthrate Rise 5% from Its Lowest post-2015 Point by 2025?

Jan 2, 11:19 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

95.99%chance

267959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4253

123

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

932

Will a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?

Apr 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

57.45%chance

413347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1382

439

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3582

645

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.85%chance

15727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

729

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

53.68%chance

5220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

982

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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