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Top stories

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

US Domestic Policy

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

Authors

12

4 months ago

Prediction markets for York

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7756948

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

80

15

4

0

0

0

0

Status of the RAISE Act in New York on January 1, 2026

May 21, 9:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

2650797

OptionProbability

Has become law

Approved by the legislature but has not become law

Not approved by the legislature

70

29

1

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41139585

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

37

29

18

16

Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?

Nov 28, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3019658

OptionProbability

NO

YES

Other

Only YES and NO are the main outcomes. All other options would not affect the main YES or NO outcomes.

94

2

2

1

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

78.8%chance

779162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1382

971

New York State RAISE Act becomes law?

Jun 24, 3:01 AMJan 2, 4:01 AM

69.98%chance

114551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4882

2686

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4842

207

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.84%chance

312654

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1161

751

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

Apr 10, 5:58 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

162420

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

93

7

0

Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?

Mar 7, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.51%chance

411684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

925

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

67.79%chance

411593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

805

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

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