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Prediction markets for Yuan

Will Saudi Arabia adopt the Chinese Yuan for trading oil by 2030?

Jul 2, 4:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.95%chance

141242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2003

499

China to make the Yuan freely convertible by end of 2026?

Aug 1, 9:53 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8.28%chance

201035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

267

Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl make love?

Jan 7, 9:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.23%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

942

Will the Chinese Yuan be among the top 3 global payments currencies before 2030?

Apr 30, 11:27 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

55.51%chance

11357

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

57

Will the war with Iran affect USD reserve currency status relative to yuan?

Mar 25, 2:33 AMJan 1, 3:32 AM

72%chance

4140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

Will Jose Luis Ricon, Alexey Guzey, Malcolm Ocean, Joscha Bach, and Qiaochu Yuan all circle with each other?

Jul 23, 9:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.49%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

63

Will a biography of Qiaochu Yuan be written by EOY 2027 (with the help of AI)?

Nov 10, 9:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.36%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

61

Will Qiaochu Yuan have kids by 2030?

Jan 7, 9:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.45%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

112

Will Qiaochu Yuan attend Vibecamp 2026?

Jul 5, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.76%chance

339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will a magical manic pixie dream girl arrive to save qiaochu yuan by 2029?

Oct 5, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Jose Luis Ricon and Qiaochu Yuan both successfully finish the Oregon Trail together before they die?

Aug 11, 5:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.7%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

90

55

Do adic_9 and Yoyo Yuan all have the same DnD alignment type?

Aug 28, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.16%chance

26

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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