OptionProbability
Manifold is eternal
They go bankrupt
Other
Shut down by the U.S. federal government
People lose interest in it and stop using the site
Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website
Founders are disappointed in slow/no/negative growth and shut Manifold down.
Not with a bang but a whimper
Bought by a large corporation but later shut down for not being profitable
Bought by a large corporation & monetized to death
Founders shut down Manifold due to community drama
will be dyed into a zebra pattern in black and grey
Outcompeted in the online marketplace
Once big enough to be noticed, regulators either shut them down or hobble them into irrelevance
A lover's quarrel
Erotic auto-asphyxiation
destroyed by great hwan empire
As a consequence of a global catastrophe (nuclear war, hostile AI takeover, etc.)
Heat death
with thunderous applause
32
23
8
6
4
3
2
1
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1117
931
2027
2035
2031
2033
2029
2037
2039
2041
2043
2045
Later than 2045 or never
59
7
5
787
400
