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Prediction markets for Zhipu AI

Will there be a massive internet outage before 2028?

Oct 21, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

356596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11161

8960

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

73325

OptionProbability

Huawei

Alibaba

SenseTime

ByteDance

Xiaomi

Tencent

Baidu

Lenovo

Zhipu AI

Moonshot AI

iFlyTek

Cambricon

Deepseek

MiniMax

17

17

17

12

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

8

8

Is Pony Alpha a new GLM model?

Feb 8, 5:45 AMJan 1, 5:44 AM

99%chance

61042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

65

Any leading Chinese AI lab (e.g. Deepseek, Moonshot, Zhipu) nationalized by EOY 2027?

Feb 25, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.14%chance

7174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

A new entrant (not in top 100) on arena.ai enters top 50 before EOY 2027?

Apr 24, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.82%chance

332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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