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Prediction markets for a16z

Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?

Jul 27, 3:26 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

58.62%chance

684771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

829

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.45%chance

5855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1853

540

AI races: NC-01 House Election Winner

Mar 25, 2:23 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

5382

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

76

24

How will "The AI Job Apocalypse Is A Is A Complete Fantasy" be viewed at the end of 2027?

May 7, 1:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

240

OptionProbability

Correct

Mixed

Incorrect

55

29

17

AI races: NC-01 AI super PAC spending after the primary?

Mar 25, 2:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

50%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

600

600

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