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Prediction markets for Abdullah

🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 12, 3:28 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

193816

OptionProbability

Other

Yulia Navalnaya

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

MSF / Doctors without Borders

Abdullah Öcalan

The International Court of Justice

UNESCO

Philippe Lazzarini

UNRWA

Kyaw Moe Tun

José Andrés

World Uyghur Congress

Maria Corina Machado

Eliezer Yudkowsky

OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

Timnit Gebru

Elon Musk

NATO

Donald Trump

Netanyahu

JD Vance

AOC

Antonio Guterres

Julian Assange

David Attenborough

Pope Francis

Ursula von der Leyen

Keir Starmer

European Union

Ilham Tohti

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

International Court of Justice

Jacinda Ardern

Raoni Metuktire

Greta Thunberg

José Andrés

Loujain al-Hathloul

Ilwad Elman

Wa Lone

Narendra Modi

Yvonne Ridley

Hajer Sharief

Alexis Tsipras

Isaias Afwerki

Nathan Law

Agnes Chow

Filippo Grandi

Yuan Longping

Mahbouba Seraj

Narges Mohammadi

Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

Juan Carlos Jintiach

Joshua Wong

Ernest Moniz

Kamala Harris

Noam Chomsky

International Fact-Checking Network

Justin Trudeau

Vladimir Putin

Aleksandr Lukashenko

Sam Altman

Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

Kim Jong Un

Joe Biden

Alexei Navalny

DOGE

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32

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Will a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?

Jan 30, 10:03 PMJan 20, 6:59 PM

13.87%chance

272894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2191

100

Will UniCredit successfully acquire a majority stake in Commerzbank by 2025?

Sep 19, 8:32 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

18.37%chance

112447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2113

479

Abdullah Öcalan released from prison before August 7, 2025

May 12, 10:08 AMAug 6, 11:59 PM

8.17%chance

12718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

335

30

Will 7-Eleven (Seven & i Holdings) be acquired before the end of 2025?

Sep 24, 8:42 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

2.79%chance

5520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

591

17

Will Abdullah Öcalan be released from prison before his death?

Nov 7, 9:14 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

13.98%chance

4493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Will there be a new Most Expensive Building by the end of 2050? (~$120 Billion)

Mar 31, 6:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.48%chance

4176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

253

135

Will there be a new Most Expensive Building by the end of 2034? (~$120 Billion)

Jul 8, 4:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.93%chance

5101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

Will Imran Khan be ever allowed to come back into power?

Aug 29, 6:16 AMDec 5, 6:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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