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Prediction markets for Abrams
OptionProbability
17
16
16
14
8
6
5
4
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
20
12
11
10
9
8
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Oct 10, 3:00 PMJun 17, 6:59 AM
15739566
OptionProbability
82
80
80
76
76
67
67
64
60
59
57
57
55
50
39
38
33
32
28
27
25
19
19
19
18
17
16
13
13
12
12
11
10
7
6
5
5
5
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
2610
580
OptionProbability
77
6
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
Nov 20, 12:30 AMFeb 19, 4:59 AM
322748
OptionProbability
59
59
58
55
54
53
53
50
49
48
46
45
42
42
34
33
33
31
31
22
15
13
10
1
OptionProbability
30
14
10
5
5
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
63
14
13
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
230
44
Will Stacey Abrams (American politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 30, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.55%chance
6268
OptionVotes
349
126
Who will be the director of the most expensive movie made and released at the end of 2028, adjusted for inflation?
May 2, 5:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3154
OptionProbability
53
11
11
11
11
2