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Adam Wall News
Prediction markets for Adam Wall
Prediction markets for Adam Wall
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.09%
chance
12
4921
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5899
3086
Will the largest AI training run in 2025 utilize Sophia, Second-order Clipped Stochastic Optimization?
May 25, 5:58 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
17.35%
chance
21
1786
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1391
870
Will The Dawn Wall (5.14d El Capitan) see another free ascent by 2026?
May 6, 4:56 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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