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Top stories

Giants Sweep Cubs; Adames and Devers Fuel Five-Game Surge

Authors

25

1 year ago

Adames Hits Two in Milwaukee Return, Brewers Walk Off 5–4

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Adames

YourMovieSucks.org (Adam) Stock

Nov 15, 2:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

12826009

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2899

559

Unkle Adams Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 9:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

3115124

OptionProbability

YES

NO

577

473

Will Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:30 PM

74.18%chance

415684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1558

698

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.15%chance

372655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1513

265

Adam 22 (Permanent)

Apr 12, 2:25 AMApr 12, 3:59 AM

73.75%chance

7376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

181

130

Will Adam Henry Marblestone's or Jose Luis Ricon's childhood home turn into a UNESCO world heritage site by EOY2150?

Dec 2, 12:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will Adam Schiff go to prison before 2030?

Oct 15, 7:30 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

13.41%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

92

Will Sam Altman have a lower DunedinPACE Rate of Aging than Adam D'Angelo?

Feb 28, 5:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61%chance

231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

98

83

Will Jose Ricon OR Adam Marblestone OR Ed Boyden OR Steve Horvath OR Jeremy nixon get a pet axolotl by 2032?

Sep 16, 7:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Adam Marblestone win a Kavli Prize by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.38%chance

28

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will Ed Boyden or Adam Marblestone be coauthor on a paper mentioning microplastics by EOY2031?

Sep 14, 7:20 PMSep 22, 3:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Adam Marblestone win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2070?

Sep 21, 6:52 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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