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Prediction markets for Aécio Neves

Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?

Dec 12, 8:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.1%chance

513548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1837

748

Will Democrats nominate someone who's never run for office before for president in 2028?

Feb 7, 8:07 PMSep 1, 4:59 AM

22.37%chance

232961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1863

537

Will AI just plateau/stall and never reach full AGI/ASI level ?

Dec 21, 8:09 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4.89%chance

191641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1573

898

🚺Which of these positions that have never been women will have their first by the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 1, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

221634

OptionProbability

Chief of Staff to the President

NASA administrator

Senate Majority Leader

Senate Minority Leader

Director General of the BBC (british broadcasting corporation)

USA President

Secretary General of the UN

NSA director

Secretary of the Treasury

CEO of Google

FBI director

Chief Justice of Supreme Court

Chairman/Chairperson of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

US Secretary of Defense

Chief of Staff of the Army

Head Coach of a Major League Baseball team

Cardinal in the Catholic Church

Pope

100

84

76

76

76

74

71

66

66

64

59

48

44

42

40

19

4

2

In which of the following Olympic events (in which the US has never medaled in) will the US first medal in?

Aug 8, 11:58 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3955

OptionProbability

Rhythmic Gymanstics

Badminton

Trampoline

Table Tennis

Handball

27

25

25

19

4

will Kalorm survive to the end of 'to face the death you're never that far from' (includes both true death and cryo)

Nov 27, 1:45 AMSep 30, 10:59 PM

97.91%chance

10720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1284

955

Which teams that have never made the NCAA men's March Madness Basketball bracket will be in it before the end of 2030?

Apr 1, 5:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8636

OptionProbability

High Point

NJIT

Utah Valley

Chicago State

Bethune-Cookman

Cal Baptist

Central Arkansas

Denver

Elon

Incarnate Word

The Citadel

Army

100

50

49

48

41

41

41

41

41

41

34

33

Will I still never get COVID though EOY 2025?

Sep 28, 7:20 AMSep 29, 3:59 AM

63.25%chance

13275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

904

The President of the United States in February 2029 will be someone who never had held elected political office prior to 2023.

Dec 10, 6:00 AMFeb 1, 6:00 AM

15.61%chance

10263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

180

Will there be another bachelor (never married) President before 2050?

Nov 30, 3:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.87%chance

16222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

971

This market will never resolve.

Feb 5, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.38%chance

1274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Neve Campbell return for Scream 8 now that she's back for Scream 7?

Mar 13, 1:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.1%chance

316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

154

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