OptionProbability
Hong Wang
Jacob Tsimerman
Other
Sam Raskin
Jack Thorne
Will Sawin
Maksym Radziwill
John Pardon
Aleksandr Logunov
Yu Deng
Hannah Larson
Karim Adiprasito
Song Sun
Miguel Walsh
Tasuki Kinjo
Junliang Shen
Julian Sahasrabudhe
Tatenda Kubalalika
Elia Bruè
Amol Aggarwal
Akhil Mathew
Ashwin Sah
Vesselin Dimitrov
Alexander Efimov
Maria Colombo
Simion Filip
Jeremy Hahn
Lisa Sauermann
Dennis Gaitsgory
(duplicate, will resolve no)
Xian-Jin Li
Yibo Gao
Mike Wolf
Joseph Palmer
A non-human (e.g. an LLM)
Jacob Braunschweig
Igor Rodnianski
22
20
11
7
6
5
4
2
1
0
Alex Smith
Ewain Gwynne
Dor Minzer
Marcelo Campos
Mehtaab Sawhney
17
15
13
OptionVotes
YES
NO
90
55
52
48
