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AGI King News
Prediction markets for AGI King
Prediction markets for AGI King
Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?
Oct 19, 6:00 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
70.52%
chance
99
21705
Option
Votes
NO
YES
11686
10943
Will King Charles III of England's reign be long enough for the development of AGI?
Sep 8, 6:44 PM
Sep 16, 6:59 AM
10.94%
chance
64
5108
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2107
738
Gary Marcus prediction: physical reasoning of AI systems will improve before psychological reasoning
Jan 23, 8:50 PM
Jan 1, 6:00 AM
28.51%
chance
36
3775
Option
Votes
NO
YES
987
974
Will King Charles live to see the creation of AGI?
Mar 25, 12:34 AM
Oct 24, 6:59 AM
15.25%
chance
37
2041
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1614
807
Will I learn to visualize 4D space before 2035?
Jun 20, 9:48 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
54%
chance
15
733
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1083
923
Will LLMs such as GPT-4 be seen as at most just a part of the solution to AGI? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #7)
Dec 25, 9:09 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
90.91%
chance
22
606
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1224
947
An argument that can convince someone that strong GAI would be capable of taking over the world. [M$50,000 bounty]
Dec 20, 10:57 PM
0
0
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