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Alan Turing News

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97%chance

377226100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5064

2

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

8385586

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

98

1

0

0

0

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.98%chance

13061823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

19704

1249

Greatest Mathematician of all time

Aug 11, 11:37 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

19332484

OptionProbability

Gauss

Archimedes

Euler

Alexander Grothendieck

@121

Other

Galois (died at 20 fighting for a girl he loved)

Erdos (on amphetamines)

Von Neumann

Ramanujan

The solver of the Riemann Hypothesis

Newton

Kurt Gödel

David Hilbert

Grigori Perelman

Augustin-Louis Cauchy

Pythagoras

Euclid (of Geometry)

Alonzo Chuch (lambda calculus)

Matt Damon (of Good Will Hunting)

Poincare

Finkelstein (of the levi finkelstein conjecture)

Mandelbrot (The B in Benoit B Mandelbrot is Benoit B Mandelbrot)

Trick question; there are no mathematicians.

Idk, your mom seemed pretty good at multiplying last night

sixtynine, you filthy casuals

David A. Cox (Cox-Zucker machine)

Ludwig Wittgenstein

John Conway (group theory, among others)

the unknown ancient egyptian who invented zero

Descartes

Leibniz

Bourbaki

Laplace

@Mira

Georg Cantor

Frank Ramsey

Fermat

Emmy Noether

Ada Lovelace

.

p

Terry Tao

DottedCalculator

GPT8

Riemann

Claude Shannon

God

Alan Turing

Olga Ladyzhenskaya

Weyl, Weyl

John Gabriel

Michael Atiyah

50

24

5

4

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Greatest AI Researcher of All Time

Jul 18, 5:37 AMJan 1, 6:37 AM

4811575

OptionProbability

Other

Geoffrey Hinton

Ilya Sutskever

Noam Shazeer

Alec Radford

Daniel Hillis

Ben Goertzle

Alan Turing

Andrej Karpathy

Yann LeCun

Demis Hassabis

Paul Christiano

Charles Babbage

Jürgen Schmidhuber

John Schulman

Noam Brown

Liang Wenfeng

Alex Krizhevsky

Donald Knuth

George Boole

Kaiming He

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Marvin Minsky

Judea Pearl

Raymond Solomonoff

Yoshua Bengio

Andrew Ng

Fei-Fei Li

Dario Amodei

David Silver

@jim

24

19

11

8

5

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Oct 1, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

83%chance

5310298

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1690

76

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

217452

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2031-2033

2025-2027

2034-2036

2037-2040

31

26

15

15

13

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.17%chance

273717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2082

321

In what year will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number?

Mar 23, 2:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

233295

OptionProbability

2025-2034

2035-2039

2055-2100

2040-2044

2045-2049

2050-2054

31

26

13

12

10

9

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.63%chance

101101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1389

366

Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2030?

Jan 7, 4:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.29%chance

17847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

493

58

Did Alan Turing believe there was a non-negligible risk that AI would exterminate or enslave humanity?

Apr 7, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.2%chance

15282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

929

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