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Alan Turing News

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.95%chance

363215294

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5063

2

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

8278300

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

98

1

1

0

0

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.96%chance

13054137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

19591

1253

Greatest Mathematician of all time

Aug 11, 11:37 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

19131817

OptionProbability

Gauss

Archimedes

Euler

@121

Other

Von Neumann

Alexander Grothendieck

Newton

Kurt Gödel

David Hilbert

Augustin-Louis Cauchy

Pythagoras

Euclid (of Geometry)

Galois (died at 20 fighting for a girl he loved)

Erdos (on amphetamines)

Alonzo Chuch (lambda calculus)

Matt Damon (of Good Will Hunting)

Ramanujan

Poincare

Finkelstein (of the levi finkelstein conjecture)

Mandelbrot (The B in Benoit B Mandelbrot is Benoit B Mandelbrot)

Trick question; there are no mathematicians.

Idk, your mom seemed pretty good at multiplying last night

sixtynine, you filthy casuals

David A. Cox (Cox-Zucker machine)

The solver of the Riemann Hypothesis

Ludwig Wittgenstein

John Conway (group theory, among others)

the unknown ancient egyptian who invented zero

Descartes

Leibniz

Bourbaki

Laplace

@Mira

Georg Cantor

Frank Ramsey

Fermat

Emmy Noether

Ada Lovelace

.

p

Terry Tao

DottedCalculator

GPT8

Riemann

Claude Shannon

God

Alan Turing

Grigori Perelman

Olga Ladyzhenskaya

Weyl, Weyl

John Gabriel

Michael Atiyah

59

22

5

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Greatest AI Researcher of All Time

Jul 18, 5:37 AMJan 1, 6:37 AM

4711572

OptionProbability

Other

Geoffrey Hinton

Ilya Sutskever

Noam Shazeer

Alec Radford

Daniel Hillis

Ben Goertzle

Alan Turing

Andrej Karpathy

Yann LeCun

Demis Hassabis

Paul Christiano

Charles Babbage

Jürgen Schmidhuber

John Schulman

Noam Brown

Liang Wenfeng

Alex Krizhevsky

Donald Knuth

George Boole

Kaiming He

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Marvin Minsky

Judea Pearl

Raymond Solomonoff

Yoshua Bengio

Andrew Ng

Fei-Fei Li

Dario Amodei

David Silver

@jim

24

19

11

8

5

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Oct 1, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.53%chance

5210288

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1680

79

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

217452

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2031-2033

2025-2027

2034-2036

2037-2040

31

26

15

15

13

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.17%chance

273717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2082

321

In what year will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number?

Mar 23, 2:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

223245

OptionProbability

2025-2034

2035-2039

2055-2100

2040-2044

2045-2049

2050-2054

31

26

13

12

10

9

Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2030?

Jan 7, 4:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.29%chance

17847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

493

58

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

7651

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

888

Did Alan Turing believe there was a non-negligible risk that AI would exterminate or enslave humanity?

Apr 7, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.2%chance

15282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

929

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