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Alexander Long News
Prediction markets for Alexander Long
Prediction markets for Alexander Long
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Feb 20, 10:47 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
32.18%
chance
4489
12297686
Option
Votes
YES
NO
25172
18254
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
42.67%
chance
556
467615
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2818
2386
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
Jul 10, 6:56 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
20.67%
chance
33
4369
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1044
957
Will Scott Alexander write a book review of Finnegans Wake?
Feb 22, 10:38 AM
Dec 31, 10:32 AM
17.35%
chance
4
250
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1150
966
Will a book titled "Arylcyclohexylamines I Have Known And Loved" be published by EOY2031?
Apr 25, 2:32 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
29.93%
chance
2
53
Option
Votes
YES
NO
153
65
Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!
Mar 9, 8:51 PM
0
0
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