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Alexander Long News
Prediction markets for Alexander Long
Prediction markets for Alexander Long
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Feb 20, 10:47 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
30.97%
chance
4332
11801719
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26039
17853
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
46%
chance
547
459947
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2969
2196
Will Anthropic escape the "supply chain risk" designation by EOY 2026?
Feb 27, 11:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
80.08%
chance
228
50019
Option
Votes
NO
YES
15809
7952
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
Jul 10, 6:56 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
22.93%
chance
33
4268
Option
Votes
NO
YES
985
941
Will Scott Alexander write a book review of Finnegans Wake?
Feb 22, 10:38 AM
Dec 31, 10:32 AM
18.16%
chance
3
200
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1100
976
Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!
Mar 9, 8:51 PM
0
0
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