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Prediction markets for Alexey

Will a HHMI Investigator be sprung out of Alexey Guzey's NewScience by 2040?

Jan 3, 8:46 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

14.49%chance

11806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

935

Are Jose Luis Ricon and Alexey Guzey both THE SAME PERSON???

Jul 28, 9:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.91%chance

2400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

496

20

Will there be a new Mt. Rushmore w/the faces of Jose Luis Ricon (JLR), Alexey Guzey, Adam Marblestone,and Isaak Freeman?

Dec 23, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.55%chance

5246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

376

93

Will Alexey Guzey ever transition into becoming a girl?

Jul 20, 10:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.36%chance

4182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will Alexey Guzey have kids?

Jan 7, 2:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

6113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

108

Who does manifold markets love more between them: Jimmy Carter, Jose Luis Ricon, or Alexey guzey

Sep 29, 11:24 PMOct 7, 4:59 AM

1100

OptionProbability

Other

Jimmy Carter

Jose Luis Ricon

Alexey guzey

63

28

4

4

Will Alexey guzey become a comedian

Jul 19, 11:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.97%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Will Alexey guzey fine tune his own local LLM by EOY2026

Jan 7, 8:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.29%chance

233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will Alexine Le Port and Alexey Guzey ever end up dating or marrying?

Jul 23, 8:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.53%chance

112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Will Alexey guzey be the best man at Jose Luis ricon's wedding

Jul 10, 6:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Jose Luis Ricon OR Alexey guzey attend Lada Nuzha's funeral (or write her obituary)

Jan 12, 5:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Judgement Day fanfic featuring Alex Zhu, repligate, JDP, Alexey guzey,Jose ricon,razib Khan, and parafactual by EOY 2028

Jun 11, 5:34 AMJun 19, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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