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Prediction markets for Alexey

Will a HHMI Investigator be sprung out of Alexey Guzey's NewScience by 2040?

Jan 3, 8:46 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

14.49%chance

11806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

935

Will Alexey Guzey be cremated?

Jun 8, 6:18 PMJun 8, 6:17 PM

3.85%chance

1400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

500

20

Will there be a new Mt. Rushmore w/the faces of Jose Luis Ricon (JLR), Alexey Guzey, Adam Marblestone,and Isaak Freeman?

Dec 23, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.55%chance

5246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

376

93

Will Alexey Guzey's birthday be declared a national holiday in Russia by 2100?

Jul 24, 3:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.21%chance

2130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

44

Who does manifold markets love more between them: Jimmy Carter, Jose Luis Ricon, or Alexey guzey

Sep 29, 11:24 PMOct 7, 4:59 AM

1100

OptionProbability

Other

Jimmy Carter

Jose Luis Ricon

Alexey guzey

63

28

4

4

Will Jose Luis Ricon, Alexey Guzey, Malcolm Ocean, Joscha Bach, and Qiaochu Yuan all circle with each other?

Jul 23, 9:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.49%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

63

Will Alexey guzey fine tune his own local LLM by EOY2026

Jan 7, 8:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.29%chance

233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will Alexey guzey have a relationship with a thiel fellow, Atlas fellow, TKS'er, cockatoo, repligate, or Rochelle?

Jul 6, 5:14 PMJul 8, 3:59 AM

39.31%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Judgement Day fanfic featuring Alex Zhu, repligate, JDP, Alexey guzey,Jose ricon,razib Khan, and parafactual by EOY 2028

Jun 11, 5:34 AMJun 19, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

if alexey guzey were an aoe2 unit, would he be a boyar?

Jul 24, 11:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Alexey Guzey and Jose Luis Ricon go BOWLING together? "Let's go bowling!" - Roman

Jul 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If William Eden were a character in CK3, would his intrigue attribute be higher than Alexey Guzey's

Sep 20, 4:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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