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Prediction markets for Alexey

Will a HHMI Investigator be sprung out of Alexey Guzey's NewScience by 2040?

Jan 3, 8:46 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

14.49%chance

11806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

935

Who does manifold markets love more between them: Jimmy Carter, Jose Luis Ricon, or Alexey guzey

Sep 29, 11:24 PMOct 7, 4:59 AM

1100

OptionProbability

Other

Jimmy Carter

Jose Luis Ricon

Alexey guzey

63

28

4

4

Will Alexey Guzey be deported out of the United States by EOY2029?

Dec 28, 11:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.09%chance

484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Will Alexey guzey fine tune his own local LLM by EOY2026

Jan 7, 8:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.29%chance

233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will Alexey guzey and zeynep guzey fall in love or create life (#GuzeyBabby) together?

Jul 7, 4:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Will Alexine Le Port and Alexey Guzey ever end up dating or marrying?

Jul 23, 8:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.53%chance

112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Will Alexey Guzey and Jose Luis Ricon ever coauthor a paper together?

Jul 24, 2:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Would Jose Luis Ricon win a 1v1 game of Offworld Trading Company with Alexey Guzey?

Aug 7, 11:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will a book called "Alexey Guzey and The Methods of Rationality" (AGMOR) be written by EOY2045?

Sep 24, 7:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Jose Luis ricon and Alexey guzey both go sitting on a tree together??

Jul 27, 8:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If William Eden were a character in CK3, would his intrigue attribute be higher than Alexey Guzey's

Sep 20, 4:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Alexey guzey grow out his beard by EOY2026

Oct 7, 3:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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