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Prediction markets for Alexey

Will a HHMI Investigator be sprung out of Alexey Guzey's NewScience by 2040?

Jan 3, 8:46 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

14.49%chance

11806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

935

Will Alexey Guzey ever transition into becoming a girl?

Jul 20, 10:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.36%chance

4182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will Alexey Guzey's birthday be declared a national holiday in Russia by 2100?

Jul 24, 3:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.21%chance

2130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

44

Who does manifold markets love more between them: Jimmy Carter, Jose Luis Ricon, or Alexey guzey

Sep 29, 11:24 PMOct 7, 4:59 AM

1100

OptionProbability

Other

Jimmy Carter

Jose Luis Ricon

Alexey guzey

63

28

4

4

Will Alexey guzey become a comedian

Jul 19, 11:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.97%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Will Alexey Guzey be deported out of the United States by EOY2029?

Dec 28, 11:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.71%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will someone erect a giant public STATUE of EITHER Jose Luis Ricon or Alexey Guzey by 2040?

Jul 21, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Is alexey guzey part of a global conspiracy theory?

Jul 24, 11:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.23%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will a book called "Alexey Guzey and The Methods of Rationality" (AGMOR) be written by EOY2045?

Sep 24, 7:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Jose Luis Ricon, Alexey Guzey, or Qiaochu Yuan make it into the guinness book of world records for anythingby2060

Jul 23, 7:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Alexey guzey grow out his beard by EOY2026

Oct 7, 3:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

if alexey guzey were an aoe2 unit, would he be a boyar?

Jul 24, 11:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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