Altman News

OpenAI’s Altman Concedes GPT-5 Missteps, Vows Faster GPT-6

4 months ago

China

US Foreign Policy

Politics

OpenAI’s Altman Says U.S. Underrates China as Chip Curbs Fall Short

4 months ago

Sam Altman Warns of AI Bubble Risks, "Phenomenal" Investor Losses, and OpenAI's Trillion-Dollar Data Center Plan

Economics

Business

Sam Altman Warns of AI Bubble Risks, "Phenomenal" Investor Losses, and OpenAI's Trillion-Dollar Data Center Plan

3 months ago

Startups

Business

Tech

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

4 months ago

Will Sam Altman be Time Person of the Year by 2028?

Feb 8, 4:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.42%chance

13939889

OptionVotes

YES

1882

922

Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?

Mar 24, 4:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.41%chance

13227373

OptionVotes

YES

2284

859

Will Sam Altman receive a significant equity stake in OpenAI? (>= 3% of the company) before end of 2025?

Sep 27, 5:49 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.24%chance

677442

OptionVotes

YES

2933

201

Will Sam Altman win a defamation case against Gary Marcus before 2030?

Feb 1, 5:41 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

3.09%chance

124819

OptionVotes

YES

5494

Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?

Jul 27, 3:26 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

58.92%chance

684764

OptionVotes

YES

1205

824

Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?

May 14, 8:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.99%chance

374275

OptionVotes

YES

3259

1722

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

49.22%chance

243307

OptionVotes

YES

10581

9400

Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

262614

OptionProbability

Other

[None - Position will cease to exist]

Mira Murati

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Greg Brockman

Bret Taylor

Larry Summers

Adam D'Angelo

Andrej Karpathy

Eric Schmidt

Paul Graham

Peter Thiel

Wojciech Zaremba

Ben Horowitz

Jessica Livingston

Marc Benioff

Sheryl Sandberg

Tim Cook

John Doerr

Reed Hastings

Fei Fei Lee

Alexander Wang

George Hotz

Brad Lightcap

Bob Mcgrew

Peter Welinder

Jason Kwon

Mark Chen

Helen Toner

Ilya Sutskever

Emmett Shear

Dario Amodei

Satya Nadela

Jeff Bezos

Demis Hassabis

Robin Li

Clément Delangue

Lila Ibrahim

Alex Karp

Reid Hoffman

Raquel Urtasun

Marc Andreessen

Aidan Gomez

Sandra Rivera

Gary Marcus

Jaime Teevan

Sundar Pichai

Jack Clark

Anna Makanju

Shane Legg

Andrew Ng

Pushmeet Kohli

Yann LeCun

Mark Zuckerberg

Yoshua Bengio

Hinton

Marissa Mayer

Spencer Rascoff

Garry Tan

Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?

Sep 17, 6:10 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

84.33%chance

272338

OptionVotes

YES

2215

512

Will Sam Altman know who I am? (5 year time frame)

May 3, 4:40 AMJan 4, 12:59 PM

49.69%chance

371441

OptionVotes

YES

1299

353

Will there be a Michael Lewis book centering on OpenAI or Sam Altman?

Aug 8, 7:42 PMAug 9, 3:59 AM

25%chance

10649

OptionVotes

YES

1039

977

Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?

May 7, 8:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.08%chance

16235

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Economics
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Sam Altman Warns of AI Bubble Risks, "Phenomenal" Investor Losses, and OpenAI's Trillion-Dollar Data Center Plan
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3 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
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AI Modeling
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OpenAI’s Altman Concedes GPT-5 Missteps, Vows Faster GPT-6
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4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
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China
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Politics
OpenAI’s Altman Says U.S. Underrates China as Chip Curbs Fall Short
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14
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
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OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla
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11
4 months ago

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Prediction markets for Altman

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Will Sam Altman be Time Person of the Year by 2028?

Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?

Will Sam Altman receive a significant equity stake in OpenAI? (>= 3% of the company) before end of 2025?

Will Sam Altman win a defamation case against Gary Marcus before 2030?

Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?

Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?

Will Sam Altman know who *I* am? (5 year time frame)

Will there be a Michael Lewis book centering on OpenAI or Sam Altman?

Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?

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Will Sam Altman know who I am? (5 year time frame)