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Idi Amin Overthrew Milton Obote, Killed Over 150,000, Expelled Indians in 1972, Divorced Wives on Radio

Idi Amin Overthrew Milton Obote, Killed Over 150,000, Expelled Indians in 1972, Divorced Wives on Radio

3

1 year ago

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

Mar 15, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22457685

OptionProbability

Mojtaba Khamenei

Other

Reza Pahlavi

Hassan Rouhani

No Head Of State

Ahmad Vahidi

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Mohamed Amin

Ali Larijani

Masoud Pezeshkian

Maryam Rajavi

Alireza Arafi

Hassan Khomeini

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Sadegh Larijani

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Abbas Araghchi

Mohammad Khatami

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Donald Trump

Hassan Shariatmadari

Marco Rubio

Nasir Hosseini

Navid Shomali

85

6

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

May 8, 3:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11941731

OptionProbability

Other

Gukesh D

Magnus Carlsen

Fabiano Caruana

Hikaru Nakamura

Ian Nepomniachtchi

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

Arjun Erigaisi

Ding Liren

Wesley So

Wei Yi

Viswanathan Anand

Sergey Karjakin

Leinier Dominguez Perez

Praggnanandhaa R

Anish Giri

Alireza Firouzja

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

Parham Maghsoodloo

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

Quang Liem Le

Levon Aronian

Veselin Topalov

Teimour Radjabov

Vidit Santosh Gujrathi

Vincent Keymer

Yu Yangyi

Alexander Grischuk

Richard Rapport

Vladislav Artemiev

Alexey Sarana

Daniil Dubov

Wang Hao

M. Amin Tabatabaei

N/A (e.g. tournament cancelled)

56

43

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

36.91%chance

5911079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1524

406

Does Amin know

Mar 20, 11:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.82%chance

84114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

65

Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?

Oct 5, 9:51 PMDec 26, 4:59 AM

15%chance

303955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2324

261

If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?

Sep 19, 12:16 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

52.43%chance

393601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

546

Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?

Sep 17, 6:10 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

84.54%chance

282358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2235

508

Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?

Sep 11, 8:33 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

49.78%chance

301884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

836

Would a China-Taiwan war shorten AI timelines?

Sep 6, 6:28 AMDec 14, 4:59 AM

18.47%chance

15628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1329

892

Will Amin Aalipour (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 15, 5:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20.28%chance

10344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

263

156

Will Amin H. Nasser (CEO of Saudi Aramco) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 13, 1:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.3%chance

4131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

261

86

Will amino acids on Mars have the same chirality as organic Earth amino acids?

Sep 13, 12:46 AMSep 13, 12:45 AM

691

OptionProbability

No significant enantiomeric excess

L-excess, more left-handed (the same as on Earth)

L-excess, more right-handed

75

54

14

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